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Method · 1 min read

Price every loss before ranking it

Loss trees list where the hours go. A finance committee needs to know what each hour is worth.

Placeholder
Isometric illustration of the end of a production line feeding rows of full pallets, with one pallet position drawn only as a blue outline: output lost and never counted.

Placeholder. This article is placeholder copy written to test layout and tone. It is not published research and makes no factual claims.

Most plants can list their losses. Fewer can say what each one costs. This piece sets out the argument for pricing every loss before ranking it, and the questions that pricing has to answer.

Price a loss in three steps

A loss becomes comparable once it is expressed in hours of the constraint. Hours convert to units at the line’s rate, and units convert to cash at the margin the plant would have earned. Each step carries an assumption, and each assumption belongs beside the number.

Exhibit 1 · The capacity you already own

In this illustrative line, four losses take 1,312 of 6,000 planned hours

Illustrative data

Planned production time and losses, one constraint line, one year, hours

01,0002,0003,0004,0005,0006,0006,000Planned time−500Changeovers−300Unplanned stops−416Slow running−96Scrap4,688Fully productivetime
Show data table
In this illustrative line, four losses take 1,312 of 6,000 planned hours (Planned production time and losses, one constraint line, one year, hours)
ItemValueUnitCite
Planned time6000hours per yearIllustrative
Changeovers-500.0hours per yearIllustrative
Unplanned stops-300.0hours per yearIllustrative
Slow running-416.0hours per yearIllustrative
Scrap-95.7hours per yearIllustrative
Fully productive time4688.3hours per yearIllustrative
Link to this exhibit

Note: Not a description of any real plant. Replace the assumptions with your own.

Source: Illustrative data. Trapped Capacity illustrative line model; assumptions are listed in Chapter 5.

From: The capacity you already own, Exhibit 10

The ranking changes when the price arrives

A list sorted by frequency answers a different question from a list sorted by cash. Priced at $1,200 an hour of contribution, the four losses on the flagship report’s illustrative line cost $1.65 million a year (Illustrative). None of the line’s inputs describes a real plant.

Exhibit 2 · The capacity you already own

In this illustrative line, the four losses cost $1.65 million a year

Illustrative data

Annual cost of losses, one constraint line, thousands of dollars of contribution, plus variable cost of scrapped units

$0k$100k$200k$300k$400k$500k$600k$700kChangeovers$600kSlow running$499kUnplanned stops$360kScrap$191kincl. $77k variable cost of scrapTotal $1.65 million a year
Show data table
In this illustrative line, the four losses cost $1.65 million a year (Annual cost of losses, one constraint line, thousands of dollars of contribution, plus variable cost of scrapped units)
ItemValueUnitCite
Changeovers, contribution600.0USD thousand per yearIllustrative
Slow running, contribution499.2USD thousand per yearIllustrative
Unplanned stops, contribution360.0USD thousand per yearIllustrative
Scrap, contribution114.8USD thousand per yearIllustrative
Scrap, variable cost of scrapped units76.5USD thousand per yearIllustrative
Total1650.6USD thousand per yearIllustrative
Link to this exhibit

Note: Prices apply only on a constraint line with demand above output. A scrapped unit forfeits the contribution of its line time and its variable cost. Not a description of any real plant.

Source: Illustrative data. Trapped Capacity illustrative line model: price $2.00 and variable cost $0.80 a unit ($1.20 contribution), 1,000 units an hour ($1,200 a constraint hour).

From: The capacity you already own, Exhibit 11

Show the priced account in the capital request

Before a site asks for a new line, the committee should see the priced account of the lines it already has. The flagship report sets out how to build that account.

Flagship report

The capacity you already own

Why the next line should be found before it is funded, and how to price the one already standing.

Download the report